Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 54.3% vs Gionta 48.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Johansen
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Johansen
Gionta
Last 5: Johansen 3-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,251)
47.7% (86)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.9% (158)
50.0% (2)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (63)
43.8% (32)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Johansen is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Johansen shoots right. Gionta is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gionta
Home
56.3% (746)
48.0% (50)
Away
52.8% (726)
45.7% (70)
By Period
Johansen
Gionta
P1
54.0%
55.8%
P2
53.8%
40.5%
P3
55.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |