Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schaller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Schaller 43.0% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 75.7%
Defensive zone
Schaller 73.7%
Neutral zone
Schaller 56.3%
Result
Tim Schaller favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Johansen
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Johansen
Schaller
Last 7: Johansen 3-4 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Schaller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
1
4
Johansen
Schaller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
42.2% (419)
+10.9%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
66.7% (12)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
36.9% (111)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Schaller is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Johansen
Schaller
Home
55.0% (7,001)
42.5% (240)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
41.1% (302)
By Period
Johansen
Schaller
P1
53.2%
42.6%
P2
53.9%
42.0%
P3
52.8%
39.9%
OT
58.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |