Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schaller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansen wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 55.1% vs Schaller 47.4% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 87.1%
Defensive zone
Schaller 66.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Johansen
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Johansen
Schaller
Last 6: Johansen 3-3 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Schaller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
1
3
Johansen
Schaller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,157)
46.3% (95)
+9.6%
Power Play
56.5% (237)
100.0% (1)
-43.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
44.3% (70)
-1.0%
On power play, Schaller has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Johansen shoots right. Schaller is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Johansen
Schaller
Home
55.8% (733)
44.9% (98)
Away
55.1% (728)
47.1% (68)
By Period
Johansen
Schaller
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
55.9%
36.8%
P3
57.2%
42.2%
OT
47.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |