Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 55.1% vs Wingels 47.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.2%
Defensive zone
Wingels 72.5%
Neutral zone
Wingels 50.2%
Result
Tommy Wingels favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Johansen
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Johansen
Wingels
Last 7: Johansen 3-4 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Wingels
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
3
Johansen
Wingels
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Wingels
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,157)
46.6% (388)
+9.3%
Power Play
56.5% (237)
53.8% (13)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
42.6% (54)
+0.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Johansen shoots right. Wingels is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Johansen
Wingels
Home
55.8% (733)
46.6% (191)
Away
55.1% (728)
46.2% (264)
By Period
Johansen
Wingels
P1
53.5%
49.0%
P2
55.9%
41.8%
P3
57.2%
48.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |