Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.5%). Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansen wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 54.3% vs Mitchell 54.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 85.9%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 69.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Johansen
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Johansen
Mitchell
Last 6: Johansen 4-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Johansen
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
1
Johansen
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,251)
53.8% (595)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.9% (158)
66.7% (6)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (63)
57.0% (151)
-1.4%
On power play, Mitchell has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Johansen is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Johansen shoots right. Mitchell is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Johansen
Mitchell
Home
56.3% (746)
57.9% (375)
Away
52.8% (726)
51.2% (377)
By Period
Johansen
Mitchell
P1
54.0%
57.9%
P2
53.8%
47.5%
P3
55.7%
58.8%
OT
59.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |