Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Brouwer 50.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Brouwer leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Brouwer 60.0%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 59.4%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 62.0%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Johansen
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Johansen
Brouwer
Last 10: Johansen 5-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
2
6
Johansen
Brouwer
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
0
Johansen
Brouwer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
3
Johansen
Brouwer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
50.3% (702)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
53.7% (551)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
46.6% (412)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Johansen shoots right. Brouwer is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Johansen
Brouwer
Home
55.0% (7,001)
53.5% (854)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Johansen
Brouwer
P1
53.2%
51.4%
P2
53.9%
49.3%
P3
52.8%
51.2%
OT
58.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |