Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.6% vs Brouwer 50.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 63.8%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 63.7%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 62.0%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Johansen
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Johansen
Brouwer
Last 6: Johansen 1-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
3
Johansen
Brouwer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Johansen
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,002)
50.8% (122)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.1% (198)
52.3% (193)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
49.6% (121)
-0.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Johansen is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Johansen shoots right. Brouwer is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Johansen
Brouwer
Home
54.7% (632)
56.6% (221)
Away
51.0% (679)
45.6% (215)
By Period
Johansen
Brouwer
P1
54.3%
54.6%
P2
53.5%
48.0%
P3
50.9%
50.3%
OT
45.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |