Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 54.3% vs Rask 49.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 70.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 77.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 59.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Johansen
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Johansen
Rask
Last 10: Johansen 8-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
0
Johansen
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
3
Johansen
Rask
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,251)
48.7% (809)
+5.3%
Power Play
58.9% (158)
60.0% (90)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (63)
47.4% (19)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Johansen shoots right. Rask is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Johansen
Rask
Home
56.3% (746)
51.4% (420)
Away
52.8% (726)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Johansen
Rask
P1
54.0%
49.1%
P2
53.8%
50.2%
P3
55.7%
50.3%
OT
59.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 06:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |