Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 58.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Johansen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
17
(36 meetings)
19
17
Johansen
Smith
Last 10: Johansen 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
5
Johansen
Smith
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
6
Johansen
Smith
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Johansen
Smith
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
51.2% (342)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
45.3% (985)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Johansen
Smith
Home
55.0% (7,001)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Johansen
Smith
P1
53.2%
49.9%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
52.8%
51.9%
OT
58.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |