Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 51.8% vs Smith 46.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 55.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 67.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Johansen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Johansen
Smith
Last 5: Johansen 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,127)
44.7% (190)
+6.9%
Power Play
53.6% (267)
40.0% (10)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (244)
45.2% (31)
+6.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Johansen shoots right. Smith is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Johansen
Smith
Home
55.0% (809)
46.8% (111)
Away
49.0% (829)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Johansen
Smith
P1
50.7%
44.6%
P2
54.4%
43.6%
P3
50.5%
46.2%
OT
64.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |