Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Vermette wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs Johnson 60.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 84.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 58.8%
Neutral zone
Vermette 56.5%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Vermette
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Vermette
Johnson
Last 9: Vermette 3-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Vermette
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Vermette
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
63.8% (260)
-8.2%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
50.0% (4)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
63.0% (46)
-7.6%
On even strength, Johnson has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Vermette is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Vermette shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Vermette
Johnson
Home
55.8% (749)
69.8% (126)
Away
55.4% (791)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Vermette
Johnson
P1
54.9%
63.0%
P2
59.2%
61.8%
P3
52.5%
66.0%
OT
55.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | OT | 04:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |