Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Johnson 60.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 83.9%
Defensive zone
Helm 80.9%
Neutral zone
Helm 82.2%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Helm
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Helm
Johnson
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Helm
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Helm
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Helm
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
63.8% (260)
-10.9%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
50.0% (4)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
63.0% (46)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Helm is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Helm shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Helm
Johnson
Home
56.5% (444)
69.8% (126)
Away
49.0% (494)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Helm
Johnson
P1
54.6%
63.0%
P2
51.8%
61.8%
P3
51.4%
66.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |