Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 52.4% vs Johnson 60.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 71.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 63.3%
Neutral zone
Vitale 50.3%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Vitale
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vitale
Johnson
Last 5: Vitale 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vitale
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Vitale
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (60)
63.8% (260)
-5.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Vitale is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Vitale shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Vitale
Johnson
Home
68.2% (22)
69.8% (126)
Away
50.0% (42)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Vitale
Johnson
P1
62.5%
63.0%
P2
44.0%
61.8%
P3
61.9%
66.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
56.3%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |