Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 47.3% vs Johnson 60.0% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Johnson
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Staal
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (552)
63.8% (260)
-16.2%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
50.0% (4)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (111)
63.0% (46)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
49.8% (400)
69.8% (126)
Away
44.1% (401)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
53.7%
63.0%
P2
43.9%
61.8%
P3
43.5%
66.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |