Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Chaput wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Johnson 60.0% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Chaput 57.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 58.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.1%
Result
Ryan Johnson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Chaput
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
63.8% (260)
-11.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
50.0% (4)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
63.0% (46)
-20.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Chaput shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Chaput
Johnson
Home
53.5% (602)
69.8% (126)
Away
49.8% (650)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Chaput
Johnson
P1
48.6%
63.0%
P2
51.6%
61.8%
P3
54.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%