Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.8% vs Johnson 60.0% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 73.3%
Defensive zone
Spaling 74.3%
Neutral zone
Spaling 71.7%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Spaling
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spaling
Johnson
Last 5: Spaling 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Spaling
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (353)
63.8% (260)
-12.2%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (136)
63.0% (46)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Spaling shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Spaling
Johnson
Home
49.2% (260)
69.8% (126)
Away
52.7% (237)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Spaling
Johnson
P1
55.2%
63.0%
P2
49.7%
61.8%
P3
47.7%
66.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2011 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |