Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +29.5% FO% edge overall. Dwyer wins 32.7% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dwyer 38.5% vs Johnson 60.0% (-29.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dwyer 66.5%
Defensive zone
Johnson 57.7%
Neutral zone
Dwyer 57.8%
Result
Patrick Dwyer favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Dwyer
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dwyer
Johnson
Last 6: Dwyer 2-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Dwyer
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dwyer
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dwyer
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
34.8% (221)
63.8% (260)
-29.0%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
50.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
63.0% (46)
-50.5%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Dwyer is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Dwyer shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Dwyer
Johnson
Home
30.8% (91)
69.8% (126)
Away
35.4% (147)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Dwyer
Johnson
P1
36.4%
63.0%
P2
30.4%
61.8%
P3
34.8%
66.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
33.6%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Patrick Dwyer |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Patrick Dwyer |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |