Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 46.6% vs Johnson 60.0% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 51.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 92.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 81.6%
Result
Ryan Johnson favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Berglund
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Berglund
Johnson
Last 5: Berglund 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
0
Berglund
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Berglund
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (792)
63.8% (260)
-16.5%
Power Play
42.5% (134)
50.0% (4)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
63.0% (46)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Berglund shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Berglund
Johnson
Home
46.8% (477)
69.8% (126)
Away
45.7% (497)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Berglund
Johnson
P1
47.1%
63.0%
P2
46.3%
61.8%
P3
45.4%
66.0%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |