Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 60.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Kesler 58.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.4%
Result
Ryan Johnson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Johnson
Kesler
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (260)
56.4% (8,095)
+7.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (46)
50.5% (1,908)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Johnson shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Johnson
Kesler
Home
69.8% (126)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
58.6% (186)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Johnson
Kesler
P1
63.0%
56.5%
P2
61.8%
55.9%
P3
66.0%
56.1%
OT
0.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
65.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%