Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +23.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Johnson wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 60.0% vs Lewis 41.4% (+23.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 77.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 97.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 94.9%
Result
Ryan Johnson favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Johnson
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Johnson
Lewis
Last 9: Johnson 7-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
0
Johnson
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
4
1
Johnson
Lewis
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (260)
39.6% (351)
+24.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (46)
33.3% (27)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Johnson shoots left. Lewis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Johnson
Lewis
Home
69.8% (126)
38.2% (178)
Away
58.6% (186)
40.1% (207)
By Period
Johnson
Lewis
P1
63.0%
39.9%
P2
61.8%
40.1%
P3
66.0%
36.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |