Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johnson wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 60.0% vs Sobotka 51.3% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 79.0%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 79.4%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 79.2%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Johnson
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Johnson
Sobotka
Last 5: Johnson 1-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
3
Johnson
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Johnson
Sobotka
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (260)
55.4% (323)
+8.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
42.9% (28)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (46)
38.5% (65)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Johnson shoots left. Sobotka is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Johnson
Sobotka
Home
69.8% (126)
52.1% (213)
Away
58.6% (186)
51.0% (206)
By Period
Johnson
Sobotka
P1
63.0%
51.2%
P2
61.8%
49.0%
P3
66.0%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
65.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |