Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Kesler 55.2% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 81.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 71.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 62.5%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Gaudette
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaudette
Kesler
Last 6: Gaudette 2-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Gaudette
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Gaudette
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
55.7% (741)
-15.8%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
67.0% (100)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (204)
+0.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Gaudette is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Gaudette shoots right. Kesler is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kesler
Home
39.1% (225)
52.5% (522)
Away
42.5% (146)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Gaudette
Kesler
P1
45.0%
56.7%
P2
42.6%
56.8%
P3
34.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |