Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 38-11 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 79.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 89.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 87.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Henrique
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
38
(49 meetings)
11
38
Henrique
Kesler
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
10
Henrique
Kesler
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
22
Henrique
Kesler
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
6
Henrique
Kesler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
50.5% (1,908)
-4.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kesler
Home
52.5% (6,418)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Henrique
Kesler
P1
50.6%
56.5%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
50.2%
56.1%
OT
40.6%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |