Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Kesler 53.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 66.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 69.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Henrique
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Henrique
Kesler
Last 8: Henrique 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Henrique
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Henrique
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
53.8% (981)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
56.9% (160)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
49.2% (185)
+2.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Henrique is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Henrique shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kesler
Home
51.2% (461)
54.1% (690)
Away
46.9% (565)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Henrique
Kesler
P1
49.5%
52.3%
P2
48.5%
52.8%
P3
49.1%
56.3%
OT
22.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |