Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Henrique wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Kesler 57.0% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 83.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 89.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 86.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Henrique
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Henrique
Kesler
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
9
Henrique
Kesler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Henrique
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
57.6% (1,225)
-9.9%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
63.5% (263)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
51.5% (305)
-6.2%
On even strength, Kesler has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Henrique is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Henrique shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kesler
Home
49.9% (567)
59.1% (881)
Away
46.7% (647)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Henrique
Kesler
P1
49.7%
56.6%
P2
45.3%
58.2%
P3
50.6%
57.5%
OT
31.8%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |