Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Kesler 52.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Lowry
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lowry
Kesler
Last 5: Lowry 5-0 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
55.2% (567)
+3.8%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
54.9% (51)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
45.0% (131)
-0.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Lowry is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lowry shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kesler
Home
57.9% (330)
55.7% (388)
Away
54.0% (341)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Lowry
Kesler
P1
55.8%
56.3%
P2
55.8%
52.5%
P3
56.1%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
62.2%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |