Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 77.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 55.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kempe
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Kempe
Kesler
Last 10: Kempe 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
4
3
Kempe
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Kempe
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kempe
Kesler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
56.4% (8,095)
-16.2%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
60.7% (1,437)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Kempe
Kesler
Home
42.4% (1,045)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Kempe
Kesler
P1
39.5%
56.5%
P2
40.1%
55.9%
P3
42.2%
56.1%
OT
37.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |