Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Galchenyuk wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.6% vs Kesler 55.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 80.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 78.5%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 54.3%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Galchenyuk
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Galchenyuk
Kesler
Last 5: Galchenyuk 2-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Galchenyuk
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (314)
55.7% (741)
-7.6%
Power Play
39.8% (93)
67.0% (100)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (204)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Galchenyuk is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Kesler
Home
50.9% (214)
52.5% (522)
Away
40.1% (197)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Kesler
P1
44.8%
56.7%
P2
45.7%
56.8%
P3
46.3%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |