Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 95.8%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 86.7%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 95.1%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Galchenyuk
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
21
(31 meetings)
10
21
Galchenyuk
Kesler
Last 10: Galchenyuk 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
7
4
Galchenyuk
Kesler
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
12
Galchenyuk
Kesler
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
5
Galchenyuk
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
56.4% (8,095)
-9.0%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
60.7% (1,437)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
50.5% (1,908)
-17.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Galchenyuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,024).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Kesler
Home
47.2% (1,504)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Kesler
P1
45.3%
56.5%
P2
47.9%
55.9%
P3
46.6%
56.1%
OT
59.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |