Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.4% vs 57.4%). Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.7% vs Kesler 55.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 75.8%
Defensive zone
Vermette 62.2%
Neutral zone
Vermette 71.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Vermette
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Vermette
Kesler
Last 10: Vermette 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (624)
57.6% (231)
-2.6%
Power Play
68.4% (133)
65.5% (29)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (82)
51.2% (43)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Vermette is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Vermette shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Vermette
Kesler
Home
58.8% (420)
58.8% (114)
Away
56.1% (419)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Vermette
Kesler
P1
59.9%
60.8%
P2
56.4%
60.0%
P3
56.6%
52.5%
OT
52.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |