Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Vermette wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Kesler 58.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 22-9 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 84.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 51.1%
Neutral zone
Vermette 60.1%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Vermette
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
22
(31 meetings)
9
22
Vermette
Kesler
Last 10: Vermette 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
9
Vermette
Kesler
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
10
Vermette
Kesler
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Vermette
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
58.6% (1,138)
-4.5%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
64.5% (186)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
55.0% (351)
-0.7%
On even strength, Kesler has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Vermette is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Vermette shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Vermette
Kesler
Home
55.9% (690)
61.0% (859)
Away
55.7% (661)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Vermette
Kesler
P1
51.8%
59.1%
P2
55.0%
56.5%
P3
60.3%
60.5%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.6%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |