Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Kesler 53.3% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 61.0%
Defensive zone
Jones 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 53.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Jones
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jones
Kesler
Last 6: Jones 3-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Jones
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
3
0
Jones
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Jones
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
53.8% (981)
-11.0%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
56.9% (160)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
49.2% (185)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Jones is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Jones shoots right. Kesler is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Jones
Kesler
Home
48.3% (149)
54.1% (690)
Away
36.6% (153)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Jones
Kesler
P1
42.6%
52.3%
P2
48.3%
52.8%
P3
38.3%
56.3%
OT
28.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |