Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 48.9% vs Kesler 58.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 68.0%
Defensive zone
Comeau 73.6%
Neutral zone
Comeau 70.9%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Comeau
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Comeau
Kesler
Last 5: Comeau 1-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Comeau
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Comeau
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (341)
58.6% (1,138)
-9.9%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
64.5% (186)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (158)
55.0% (351)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Comeau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Comeau shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Comeau
Kesler
Home
52.7% (298)
61.0% (859)
Away
44.4% (268)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Comeau
Kesler
P1
46.1%
59.1%
P2
50.5%
56.5%
P3
49.5%
60.5%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
48.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |