Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Kesler 55.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 60.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 58.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 60.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Jenner
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Jenner
Kesler
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Jenner
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Jenner
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
4
Jenner
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
55.7% (741)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
67.0% (100)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
50.0% (204)
+0.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Jenner is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Jenner shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Jenner
Kesler
Home
54.1% (575)
52.5% (522)
Away
54.1% (582)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Jenner
Kesler
P1
54.1%
56.7%
P2
53.1%
56.8%
P3
54.9%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |