Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 44.1% vs Kesler 52.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 75.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 82.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 82.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Schenn
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Schenn
Kesler
Last 7: Schenn 1-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Schenn
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Schenn
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Schenn
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (635)
53.8% (1,005)
-11.1%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
56.6% (205)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
42.3% (196)
+10.6%
On even strength, Kesler has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Schenn is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Schenn shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kesler
Home
45.4% (324)
54.1% (719)
Away
41.3% (361)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Schenn
Kesler
P1
40.8%
53.1%
P2
47.3%
54.5%
P3
40.5%
50.3%
OT
57.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |