Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Kesler 58.0% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 72.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 52.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Coyle
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Kesler
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Coyle
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Coyle
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
58.6% (1,138)
-12.6%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
64.5% (186)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
55.0% (351)
-8.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Coyle is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Coyle shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kesler
Home
45.8% (251)
61.0% (859)
Away
45.0% (251)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Coyle
Kesler
P1
49.7%
59.1%
P2
46.9%
56.5%
P3
39.8%
60.5%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2016 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |