Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Kesler 55.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 63.6%
Defensive zone
Kesler 79.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 61.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Giroux
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Giroux
Kesler
Last 6: Giroux 2-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Giroux
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Giroux
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (765)
55.7% (741)
+0.2%
Power Play
64.9% (265)
67.0% (100)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (133)
50.0% (204)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Giroux is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Giroux shoots right. Kesler is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kesler
Home
60.1% (561)
52.5% (522)
Away
55.9% (603)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Giroux
Kesler
P1
61.1%
56.7%
P2
53.1%
56.8%
P3
59.3%
54.1%
OT
61.1%
16.7%
Final 5 min
64.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |