Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.0%). Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 39 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 64-31 in 95 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 57.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 75.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 73.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Giroux
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
64
(95 meetings)
31
64
Giroux
Kesler
Last 10: Giroux 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
16
16
Giroux
Kesler
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
30
Giroux
Kesler
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
18
Giroux
Kesler
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
56.4% (8,095)
-0.6%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
60.7% (1,437)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
50.5% (1,908)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kesler
Home
59.2% (10,252)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Giroux
Kesler
P1
57.5%
56.5%
P2
56.2%
55.9%
P3
57.3%
56.1%
OT
51.4%
46.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |