Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCormick wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 43.8% vs Kesler 57.0% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 67.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 55.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 52.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
McCormick
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McCormick
Kesler
Last 8: McCormick 4-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
McCormick
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
McCormick
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCormick
4
1
McCormick
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (303)
57.3% (1,022)
-15.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
61.5% (200)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
54.9% (257)
+11.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McCormick is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (118).
McCormick shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
McCormick
Kesler
Home
45.6% (182)
58.6% (766)
Away
36.6% (134)
56.2% (730)
By Period
McCormick
Kesler
P1
45.8%
58.9%
P2
40.0%
56.8%
P3
38.6%
57.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
41.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |