Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Winnik wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 45.6% vs Kesler 52.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 69.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 82.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 85.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Winnik
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Winnik
Kesler
Last 7: Winnik 5-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
2
0
Winnik
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Winnik
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (162)
53.8% (1,005)
-8.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.6% (205)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
42.3% (196)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Winnik is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Winnik shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Winnik
Kesler
Home
55.9% (93)
54.1% (719)
Away
32.0% (103)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Winnik
Kesler
P1
45.6%
53.1%
P2
42.2%
54.5%
P3
42.6%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
40.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |