Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 47-45 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 51.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 50.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Backes
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
47
(92 meetings)
45
47
Backes
Kesler
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
16
15
Backes
Kesler
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
15
14
Backes
Kesler
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
18
Backes
Kesler
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
60.7% (1,437)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Backes
Kesler
Home
50.6% (3,936)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Backes
Kesler
P1
50.1%
56.5%
P2
51.5%
55.9%
P3
50.8%
56.1%
OT
42.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | OT | 01:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | David Backes |