Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 57-26 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 92.5%
Defensive zone
Brassard 92.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 93.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Brassard
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
57
(83 meetings)
26
57
Brassard
Kesler
Last 10: Brassard 1-9 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
12
13
Brassard
Kesler
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
8
27
Brassard
Kesler
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
17
Brassard
Kesler
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.7%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
50.5% (1,908)
-0.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kesler
Home
50.6% (5,020)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Brassard
Kesler
P1
49.0%
56.5%
P2
49.8%
55.9%
P3
48.4%
56.1%
OT
51.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 1, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |