Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jeffrey wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 53.8% vs Kesler 58.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 70.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 70.2%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 54.2%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Jeffrey
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jeffrey
Kesler
Last 7: Jeffrey 3-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
4
Jeffrey
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (52)
58.6% (1,138)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
64.5% (186)
-14.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Jeffrey is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Jeffrey shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Kesler
Home
62.5% (24)
61.0% (859)
Away
58.8% (34)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Jeffrey
Kesler
P1
52.2%
59.1%
P2
72.2%
56.5%
P3
58.8%
60.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
60.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |