Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 46.1% vs Kesler 56.0% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 75.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 69.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 75.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Haula
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Haula
Kesler
Last 5: Haula 1-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Haula
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Haula
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (504)
57.4% (1,185)
-11.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
58.0% (243)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (64)
49.2% (236)
-11.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Haula is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Haula shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Haula
Kesler
Home
50.7% (300)
58.5% (793)
Away
39.6% (273)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Haula
Kesler
P1
47.0%
57.0%
P2
41.3%
55.4%
P3
48.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2014 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |