Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 50.1% vs Kesler 56.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheppard 78.3%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 76.7%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 79.2%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Sheppard
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Sheppard
Kesler
Last 6: Sheppard 0-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Sheppard
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Sheppard
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Sheppard
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (518)
57.4% (1,185)
-7.2%
Power Play
44.1% (34)
58.0% (243)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
49.2% (236)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Sheppard is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Sheppard shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Kesler
Home
50.3% (324)
58.5% (793)
Away
49.8% (231)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Sheppard
Kesler
P1
49.7%
57.0%
P2
46.9%
55.4%
P3
53.8%
56.7%
OT
66.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |