Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Kesler 58.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 91.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 59.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 85.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Benn
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Benn
Kesler
Last 10: Benn 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Benn
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Benn
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
58.6% (1,138)
-9.5%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
64.5% (186)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
55.0% (351)
-15.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Benn is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Benn shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Benn
Kesler
Home
50.0% (232)
61.0% (859)
Away
44.7% (246)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Benn
Kesler
P1
43.9%
59.1%
P2
45.6%
56.5%
P3
51.6%
60.5%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.4%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |