Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Iginla wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 53.3% vs Kesler 57.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 55.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 92.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 80.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Iginla
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Iginla
Kesler
Last 10: Iginla 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
2
0
Iginla
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
6
2
Iginla
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (259)
57.3% (1,022)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
61.5% (200)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
54.9% (257)
-27.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Iginla is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Iginla shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Iginla
Kesler
Home
61.1% (203)
58.6% (766)
Away
47.5% (217)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Iginla
Kesler
P1
57.6%
58.9%
P2
50.4%
56.8%
P3
56.2%
57.5%
OT
31.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 22, 2011 | OT | 03:37 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |