Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.5% vs 57.4%). Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Kesler 57.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 58.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 52.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 54.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Stoll
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stoll
Kesler
Last 10: Stoll 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
4
Stoll
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Stoll
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Stoll
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
57.3% (1,022)
-0.7%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
61.5% (200)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
54.9% (257)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Stoll is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Stoll shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Stoll
Kesler
Home
58.6% (662)
58.6% (766)
Away
56.3% (648)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Stoll
Kesler
P1
58.1%
58.9%
P2
56.4%
56.8%
P3
58.4%
57.5%
OT
43.8%
31.6%
Final 5 min
59.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |