Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Kesler 57.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 60.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 60.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Spezza
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Spezza
Kesler
Last 10: Spezza 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Spezza
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
5
Spezza
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
57.3% (1,022)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
61.5% (200)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
54.9% (257)
+1.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Spezza shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kesler
Home
56.6% (532)
58.6% (766)
Away
56.0% (678)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Spezza
Kesler
P1
58.8%
58.9%
P2
59.6%
56.8%
P3
50.4%
57.5%
OT
57.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |