Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Hecht wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.9% vs Kesler 57.0% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 77.0%
Defensive zone
Hecht 78.1%
Neutral zone
Hecht 79.5%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Hecht
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hecht
Kesler
Last 5: Hecht 1-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Hecht
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Hecht
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (558)
57.3% (1,022)
-15.5%
Power Play
44.4% (72)
61.5% (200)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (93)
54.9% (257)
-7.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Hecht is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Hecht shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Hecht
Kesler
Home
44.7% (356)
58.6% (766)
Away
41.6% (373)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Hecht
Kesler
P1
41.9%
58.9%
P2
45.0%
56.8%
P3
42.0%
57.5%
OT
45.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
39.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |